Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading near $95,000, caught between a crucial futures market inefficiency and strong overhead resistance. The immediate focus for traders is whether the price will drop to fill a gap or continue its upward trajectory.
Immediate Downside Watch: The CME Gap
- Key Focus: Analysts are watching an unfilled CME futures gap near $92,000.
- Significance: Price often returns to fill these gaps formed over the weekend, making it a likely short-term target before any sustained rebound.
- Deeper Support: Beyond the gap, a wider, long-term support band is identified between $88,000 and $90,000. This zone aligns with a rising weekly trendline that has historically provided bounces, suggesting it could act as a local floor if a sharper pullback occurs. A clean break below this trendline would significantly weaken the long-term bullish outlook.
Upside Resistance and Bullish Factors
- Resistance Band: Strong resistance is seen building roughly between $99,000 and $111,000.
- Upside Target: Despite the immediate pullback risk, analysts note that the backdrop—including active spot trading volume and steady demand from Bitcoin ETF flows—still supports scenarios where BTC could revisit the $101,000 to $103,000 region after any test lower.
- Recent Buying Behavior: Recent daily charts show a "sell side liquidity sweep," where price dipped below key summer lows to trigger stops before quickly closing higher. This, along with long lower wicks on recent candles, signals that buyers are actively stepping in on dips.
Market Phase Assessment
- Consolidation: The market is described as being in a correction phase rather than a full reversal. Technical indicators, like the Alligator indicator's moving averages, are compressing, suggesting a shift from a strong trend to a more neutral, re-accumulation phase where larger traders may be building positions.
- Macro View: Some analysts suggest the current consolidation resembles late-cycle phases of prior advances, possibly continuing until ETF outflows slow or volatility decreases.
In the near term, Bitcoin is stuck between the $92,000 CME gap and the high-end resistance. Traders are waiting for a decisive move to confirm the next trend: a test of the gap or a break back toward $101,000.
November 2025, Cryptoniteuae