Shares of Bitdeer Technologies Group saw a sharp drop of over 30% this week, falling from $23 to around $16, after the company's third-quarter results failed to satisfy high investor expectations—particularly regarding its Artificial Intelligence (AI) infrastructure progress. Investors were looking for major updates but received only incremental news, leading to the severe sell-off.
Despite the market reaction, analysts maintain a strong positive outlook based on the company's core financial and operational fundamentals:
- Strong Financial Performance: Bitdeer's Q3 revenue surged 174% year-over-year to nearly $170 million, and adjusted EBITDA swung to a positive $43 million from a loss in the previous year.
- Analyst Confidence: Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer reaffirmed a Buy rating and a $38 price target, emphasizing the company’s strategic position.
- Technology Progress: Palmer highlighted significant progress on the proprietary SEAL04 mining chip, citing early test results that show strong energy efficiency ahead of its planned production in early 2026.
- AI Future Potential: The company's future value is tied to its extensive infrastructure, which includes a 3-gigawatt power footprint. Plans to allocate 200 megawatts (MW) of power to AI computing by late 2026 could potentially generate up to $2 billion in annualized AI-cloud revenue once fully deployed.
In summary, the stock decline appears driven by a mismatch between investor anticipation for immediate, dramatic AI news and the actual, strong-but-incremental Q3 report, overshadowing the company's robust financial growth and promising technological roadmap.
November 2025, Cryptoniteuae