Major cryptocurrencies are experiencing sustained selling pressure this month, even as traditional safe-haven assets, gold and silver, rally. This divergence highlights risks specific to digital assets, while precious metals benefit from concerns over global government and fiscal stability.
Crypto Market Weakness:
- Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped over 9% this month, falling below the critical on-chain support level of $100,000.
- The weakness has spread to other major tokens: Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Dogecoin (DOGE) are down between 11% and 20%.
- XRP has shown relative resilience, declining just over 7%.
- This weakness persists despite the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) losing momentum, a factor that usually bodes well for both crypto and precious metals.
Why is Bitcoin Lagging?
According to Greg Magadini of Amberdata, the subdued performance is due to two main factors:
- "Good News" Priced In: Bullish catalysts like the Federal Reserve easing, U.S./China trade cooperation, and a resolved government shutdown have already been factored into the price, leaving BTC vulnerable to bearish developments and positioning flushes.
- Systemic Credit Risk: A key fear weighing on the market is the potential for a credit freezeimpacting Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs).
- DATs heavily rely on credit markets (convertible bonds, debt issuance) to fund their crypto purchases.
- With demand for credit rising (due to sovereign governments and AI ventures), a tightening of credit could force DATs to sell their coin holdings to meet debt obligations, potentially triggering a cascading downward spiral, especially for those holding volatile altcoins purchased at peak valuations.
Explaining the Gold and Silver Upswing:
- Precious metals have gained significantly (Gold up 4%, Silver up 9%), driven by mounting concerns over the fiscal health of major global economies, including the U.S.
- Fiscal Strain: High government debt-to-GDP ratios (e.g., U.S. over 120%, Japan over 220%) are driving investors toward traditional safe havens.
- Eurozone Focus: Robin Brooks of the Brookings Institution noted that the rally is a symptom of "profoundly broken fiscal policy, which is true globally, especially in the Eurozone, where high-debt countries control the ECB."
The Historical Connection:
Historically, BTC has tended to lag behind gold by approximately 80 days. This pattern suggests that once the current precious metals rally stalls, Bitcoin may receive a strong bullish bid, though it remains to be seen if this correlation holds true in the current economic environment.
November 2025, Cryptoniteuae