03 May

Shiba Inu [SHIB] and Dogecoin [DOGE] saw weekly losses of 8.5% and 11.4%, respectively. At the lowest point over the last week, both memecoins had substantially larger losses; however, in the last 36 hours, they have gained just over 10%.

As of the publication of this article, the price of Bitcoin [BTC] was also below $60,000. Fear pervaded the market. Thus, the potential depth of this downward trend appeared to be uncertain.

Contrasting Dogecoin and Shiba Inu's speculative sentiment

Since the first week of March, the Open Interest for Shiba Inu has been steadily declining. Additionally, the price has been in a retracement period. All of them brought attention to the bulls' persistent lack of conviction.

A sizable OI rise was seen during certain brief bounces, however these were swiftly corrected. It became clear that an increasing number of market players were being pushed to the sidelines. Dogecoin, on the other hand, was unique.

Its OI decreased as well, albeit it did so primarily in the second part of April. In contrast to SHIB, which exhibited a 39% rebound in late March, DOGE's price movement indicated a bigger 86% bounce toward that date. This clarified the disparity in Open Interest and, consequently, the emotion.

It is reasonable to conclude that sellers are exerting significant pressure on both mem currencies. They both indicated a pessimistic outlook, although Shiba Inu has been weaker for a longer time.

Which one is nearing the formation of a bottom?

Is SHIB the token that is closer to creating the bottom because it has retraced for a longer duration? In April, Shiba Inu's funding rate has been negative for a number of days running. It runs from April 13 to April 21 and from April 27 to May 2.

In contrast, over a few days during the last two weeks, DOGE saw a slight negative financing rate on Binance. This implied that, once again, market participants were more willing to short SHIB than DOGE.  

Last but not least, the 365-day MVRV ratios of Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, respectively, were both quite healthy at 25.58% and 28.84%. This demonstrated that holders were still up a respectable amount despite the recent losses.

Before DOGE and SHIB have a chance to rebound, it's likely that Bitcoin will need to regain its positive momentum. It is plausible to deduce that, in the event of a significant wave of selling, SHIB is more likely than DOGE to report larger losses until that time.

May 2024, Cryptoniteuae

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