04 Nov
04Nov

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a tough phase, with most altcoins taking a sharp hit despite Bitcoin holding up relatively better. Analysts point to several core reasons for this severe altcoin slump:

1. The Liquidity Problem: Limited Tradable Supply

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlights that thin liquidity and a limited tradable supply are making altcoins hyper-volatile:

  • Small Supply: Only about 10% of an altcoin's total supply is often available for trading.
  • Large Sell Orders: In a low-liquidity environment, even a relatively small sell order (like 2% of the total supply) can cause a massive price drop because there aren't enough buyers (deep order books) to absorb the selling pressure.
  • Volatility: This thin liquidity is a double-edged sword: prices fall harder during downturns but can surge faster when sentiment turns bullish.
  • Analyst Advice: Van de Poppe advises altcoin holders to "be patient," asserting that the overall market cycle has not yet peaked.

2. Rising Bitcoin Dominance

The percentage of the total crypto market value held by Bitcoin (Bitcoin Dominance) is also a major factor:

  • Money Flow: Bitcoin dominance recently broke out of an ascending channel, indicating that capital is flowing out of altcoins and into Bitcoin.
  • Outlook: If Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, altcoins will likely continue to struggle. However, a drop below 60.5% could potentially ease some of the selling pressure on altcoins.
  • Historical Parallel: The current environment is compared to late 2019, where altcoins suffered for months despite Bitcoin's strength until broader market conditions improved, eventually leading to a powerful altcoin rally.

3. Macro Liquidity Crunch

Broader financial market issues are adding severe pressure to risky assets like crypto:

  • Government Shutdown Impact: The U.S. government shutdown is draining liquidity from the system. Money is building up in the Treasury General Account (TGA), which effectively tightens financial conditions and pushes funds out of riskier assets.
  • Defensive Stance: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautious comments on rate cuts have made investors more defensive, further decreasing trading volumes (which fell 20-40% since mid-October) and pushing altcoins lower.

Altcoin Outlook

Despite the current pain, there is a historical precedent for recovery. Once liquidity improves and market confidence returns, a strong altcoin comeback is expected. A quick resolution to the U.S. government shutdown, potentially leading to more dovish signals from the Fed, could provide the necessary liquidity boost needed to set the stage for the next major crypto rally, possibly in 2026.

November 2025, Cryptoniteuae

تعليقات
* لن يتم نشر هذا البريد الإلكتروني على الموقع.